Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran peace deal in late June”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $31,063 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x61e7e54% win rate
Total
$31,063
Markets
10
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$2,000 @ 64¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,709 @ 57¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1,032 @ 86¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,115 @ 85¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,000 @ 34¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,807 @ 70¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$8,400 @ 45¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3,000 @ 65¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,000 @ 39¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$2,000 @ 50¢