Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran peace deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $15,500 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 84¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,500 @ 89¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 85¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 89¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 80¢
No Iran peace deal — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter