Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal before June”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $42,401 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xa65c859% win rate

Total

$42,401

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,697 @ 62¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $4,988 @ 43¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,796 @ 60¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $10,920 @ 39¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $20,000 @ 75¢
Iran deal before June — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter