Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œOil will stay below $80โ€

This trader is expressing a view that Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?, Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,992 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
    $1,538 @ 32ยข
  2. 2Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
    $2,454 @ 62ยข
Oil will stay below $80 โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter