Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran deal by late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $52,566 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x44c1d58% win rate

Total

$52,566

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $6,337 @ 84¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $11,054 @ 86¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $29,000 @ 29¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,082 @ 26¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,817 @ 10¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $2,276 @ 22¢
US-Iran deal by late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter