Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $42,664 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x44c1d56% win rate

Total

$42,664

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $31,610 @ 29¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $11,054 @ 86¢