Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deadline arbitrage”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $26,641 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x6bab459% win rate

Total

$26,641

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,258 @ 65¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,545 @ 23¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $10,130 @ 28¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,354 @ 42¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $2,506 @ 30¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $2,548 @ 29¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,301 @ 14¢
Iran peace deadline arbitrage — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter