Cross-Market Thesis

“Deal lands in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $72,510 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbc43a84% win rate

Total

$72,510

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3,473 @ 48¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $44,952 @ 90¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,006 @ 67¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $7,809 @ 78¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $8,000 @ 80¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $5,100 @ 51¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,170 @ 39¢
Deal lands in late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter