Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $54,766 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbc43a85% win rate

Total

$54,766

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $7,809 @ 78¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $44,952 @ 90¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,006 @ 67¢