Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran deal arrives in May”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $22,362 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0xcd71f80% win rate
Total
$22,362
Markets
6
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,018 @ 85¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$6,951 @ 18¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,405 @ 20¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,453 @ 9¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5,764 @ 32¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,773 @ 48¢