Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $14,442 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x436f970% win rate

Total

$14,442

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $6,942 @ 43¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,500 @ 44¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 74¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter