Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $10,480 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
    $2,778 @ 58¢
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
    $7,701 @ 61¢