Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?, US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,798 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x5f45b62% win rate

Total

$3,798

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
    $2,203 @ 58¢
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
    $1,595 @ 71¢