Cross-Market Thesis

“No deal by May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $20,836 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x5b63369% win rate

Total

$20,836

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $19,656 @ 81¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,180 @ 85¢
No deal by May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter