Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,626 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x8c68589% win rate

Total

$3,626

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,332 @ 23¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,294 @ 71¢