Cross-Market Thesis

“No summer Iran deal”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $20,664 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x1521b70% win rate

Total

$20,664

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,665 @ 86¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $5,650 @ 16¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,500 @ 15¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,378 @ 40¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $9,471 @ 73¢
No summer Iran deal — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter