Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,488 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x853c351% win rate

Total

$4,488

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
    $2,325 @ 75¢
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
    $2,163 @ 19¢