Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,851 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x20d9162% win rate

Total

$2,851

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
    $1,433 @ 70¢
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
    $1,418 @ 60¢