Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal lands in May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,932 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x6139c70% win rate

Total

$16,932

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $4,143 @ 83¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $7,920 @ 88¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,869 @ 55¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 12¢
Iran deal lands in May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter