Cross-Market Thesis

Hormuz deadlines are mispriced

This trader is expressing a view that Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?, Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?, Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $22,287 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x612b375% win rate

Total

$22,287

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
    $1,076 @ 88¢
  2. 2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
    $1,212 @ 55¢
  3. 3Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 45¢
  4. 4Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 44¢
Hormuz deadlines are mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter