Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $17,509 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x74bf173% win rate

Total

$17,509

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,496 @ 86¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $8,200 @ 82¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $4,813 @ 69¢
Iran peace deal in late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter