Cross-Market Thesis

“Peace deal in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $50,821 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xc851c52% win rate

Total

$50,821

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $25,262 @ 81¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $9,538 @ 28¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $16,021 @ 24¢
Peace deal in late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter