Cross-Market Thesis

“No US-Iran peace deal in 2026”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $12,676 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x8a98152% win rate

Total

$12,676

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $2,723 @ 77¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,652 @ 83¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,020 @ 51¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,660 @ 83¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,260 @ 63¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,680 @ 84¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,579 @ 88¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,102 @ 38¢
No US-Iran peace deal in 2026 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter