Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran peace deal in August”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $14,601 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x8a98154% win rate
Total
$14,601
Markets
10
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,512 @ 88¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,480 @ 74¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,652 @ 83¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,020 @ 51¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,260 @ 63¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,680 @ 84¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1,579 @ 88¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,102 @ 38¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,133 @ 51¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1,183 @ 65¢