Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran deal in late May

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,844 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x12a2260% win rate

Total

$3,844

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,014 @ 80¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $2,829 @ 76¢