Cross-Market Thesis

Vance beats Newsom in 2028

This trader is expressing a view that Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?, Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? are correlated outcomes, committing $70,775 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
    $18,514 @ 83¢
  2. 2Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
    $52,260 @ 21¢