Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran peace timing mispricedโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $58,682 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $20,504 @ 55ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $38,178 @ 62ยข
Iran peace timing mispriced โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter