Cross-Market Thesis

“No Iran peace deal”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $34,800 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x3c4f079% win rate

Total

$34,800

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $15,869 @ 77¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $18,931 @ 86¢
No Iran peace deal — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter