Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal happens in May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $56,459 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x612b375% win rate

Total

$56,459

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $43,212 @ 88¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,600 @ 66¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $10,647 @ 36¢
Iran deal happens in May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter