Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?, US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,720 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x88c4986% win rate

Total

$2,720

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
    $1,700 @ 35¢
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
    $1,020 @ 17¢