Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal by mid-June”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $20,458 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xcbab481% win rate

Total

$20,458

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $13,000 @ 65¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,301 @ 77¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $6,157 @ 29¢
Iran deal by mid-June — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter