Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran peace deal fails”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,443 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x5e84789% win rate

Total

$7,443

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3,480 @ 87¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,670 @ 89¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,293 @ 84¢
US-Iran peace deal fails — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter