Cross-Market Thesis

Iran ceasefire will hold

This trader is expressing a view that Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,540 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
    $1,005 @ 67¢
  2. 2Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
    $1,350 @ 90¢
  3. 3Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
    $1,185 @ 79¢