Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran peace deal unlikely”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $19,740 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0xd3ecb82% win rate
Total
$19,740
Markets
5
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10,218 @ 83¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,223 @ 83¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,780 @ 89¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,600 @ 72¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,919 @ 73¢