Cross-Market Thesis

Iran ceasefire curve mispriced

This trader is expressing a view that Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,217 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate

Total

$4,217

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
    $2,017 @ 82¢
  2. 2Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
    $2,200 @ 60¢
Iran ceasefire curve mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter