Cross-Market Thesis

Iran ceasefire holds through May

This trader is expressing a view that Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? are correlated outcomes, committing $37,000 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x5f17689% win rate

Total

$37,000

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
    $10,000 @ 86¢
  2. 2Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
    $13,500 @ 89¢
  3. 3Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
    $13,500 @ 75¢