Cross-Market Thesis

No lasting Iran deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,943 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,400 @ 71¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,037 @ 90¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,246 @ 68¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $6,729 @ 79¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,531 @ 59¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 75¢
No lasting Iran deal — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter