Cross-Market Thesis

No US-Iran peace deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,694 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,139 @ 89¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,555 @ 90¢