Cross-Market Thesis

No US-Iran peace deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $93,096 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $4,801 @ 27¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $84,512 @ 84¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,783 @ 27¢