Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran deal by mid-June”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,205 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.
T
Trader_0xbd04770% win rate
Total
$13,205
Markets
8
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,117 @ 85¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,550 @ 31¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,865 @ 75¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1,849 @ 74¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,395 @ 31¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,740 @ 58¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,460 @ 52¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1,230 @ 31¢