Cross-Market Thesis

Ceasefire breaks but later holds

This trader is expressing a view that Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $15,947 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xe168b80% win rate

Total

$15,947

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
    $1,465 @ 25¢
  2. 2Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
    $12,000 @ 9¢
  3. 3Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
    $2,482 @ 61¢
Ceasefire breaks but later holds — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter