Cross-Market Thesis
“US-Iran deal in mid-June”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $58,200 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.
T
Trader_0xa771573% win rate
Total
$58,200
Markets
6
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21,250 @ 85¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4,850 @ 85¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$13,000 @ 78¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9,100 @ 68¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8,000 @ 61¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,000 @ 25¢