Cross-Market Thesis

“No US-Iran peace deal”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,648 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x96f9173% win rate

Total

$5,648

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $3,477 @ 70¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,031 @ 85¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,140 @ 57¢
No US-Iran peace deal — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter