Cross-Market Thesis

Iran deal comes late May

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,066 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbb9c177% win rate

Total

$8,066

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $3,643 @ 54¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,424 @ 67¢
Iran deal comes late May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter