Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo Iran deal by deadlineโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,000 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $2,000 @ 40ยข
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $2,000 @ 52ยข
No Iran deal by deadline โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter