Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran peace deal fails

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,623 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x57b0079% win rate

Total

$3,623

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,620 @ 81¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,003 @ 67¢