Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace markets mispriced”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $13,462 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

0xe734...4f0c

Total

$13,462

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $4,667 @ 47¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $7,580 @ 20¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,215 @ 64¢
Iran peace markets mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter