Cross-Market Thesis

No US-Iran peace deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,198 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

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Sharp_0x94c4f81% win rate

Total

$7,198

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,600 @ 32¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $5,598 @ 75¢