Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran deal in Juneโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $13,204 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,637 @ 60ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $4,067 @ 85ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $7,500 @ 74ยข
Iran deal in June โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter