Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran peace deal fails”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,000 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xa2f7476% win rate

Total

$5,000

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 87¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 82¢
US-Iran peace deal fails — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter