Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo US-Iran peace dealโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $70,000 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 20ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 45ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 79ยข
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $50,000 @ 90ยข
No US-Iran peace deal โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter