Cross-Market Thesis

Iran deal timing mismatch

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,967 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xe4e6a71% win rate

Total

$2,967

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,447 @ 90¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,520 @ 81¢
Iran deal timing mismatch — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter