Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran peace deal fails”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,823 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x2d61376% win rate

Total

$4,823

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,092 @ 78¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,951 @ 71¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,780 @ 89¢
US-Iran peace deal fails — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter